Ravens vs Bengals – Week 15 2025
BAL
CIN
BAL
AWAY
24@0
BAL BY 24
FINAL · WEEK 15
2025 SEASON
Paycor Stadium · Cincinnati, OH
CIN
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Baltimore Ravens 24, Cincinnati Bengals 0.
Going in, our model had favored Baltimore Ravens at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Bengals.
Model confidence: BAL 62%Our line: BAL -4.0
ODDS
SPREAD
BAL -2.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
BAL -4.0
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
BAL · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
62%
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 15
+0.010Net EPA / play-0.138
+0.034 (12)Offense EPA / play-0.009 (19)
+0.024 (20)Defense EPA / play+0.130 (29)
44.6% (13)Offense success %45.5% (11)
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BAL. Projected margin: 4.0. Actual: 24. Off by 20.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 21.5 points.
COLD GAME
10°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
BAL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
CIN
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
10°F
WIND
7 MPH
COLD GAME
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@BALW13 2025 | CIN 32, BAL 14 | BAL | L |
| CIN@BALW10 2024 | CIN 34, BAL 35 | BAL | W |
| BAL@CINW5 2024 | BAL 41, CIN 38 | BAL | W |
| CIN@BALW11 2023 | CIN 20, BAL 34 | BAL | W |
| BAL@CINW2 2023 | BAL 27, CIN 24 | CIN | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSBAL vs CIN
Our model takes Baltimore Ravens at 62% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project BAL by 4.0. The market has BAL at -2.5.
Baltimore Ravens won, BAL 24, CIN 0. Our model had favored Baltimore Ravens at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Baltimore Ravens at -2.5, meaning the book expects Baltimore Ravens to win by 2.5 points.
In Week 15, the Cincinnati Bengals were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 51.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.3, 6.2 below the market.
Week 15 of the 2025 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Cincinnati Bengals, CIN 32, BAL 14 in Week 13 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Baltimore Ravens: BAL +0.010 against CIN -0.138.
