Bengals vs Ravens – Week 7 2026
CIN
BAL
CIN
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 7 · 2026 SEASON
M&T Bank Stadium · Baltimore, MD
BAL
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Ravens over the Bengals at 66% win probability, a Tier B pick.
The market has the Ravens at -3.5, and our model is 1.9 points higher on them than the book.
Model confidence: BAL 66%Our line: BAL -5.4
80% range around our line: CIN by 12 to BAL by 23. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the BAL game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
BAL -3.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
BAL -5.4
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
BAL · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
66%
BAL · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
59%
DIFFERENCE
+7%
| SPORTSBOOK | CIN | BAL | BAL WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +130 | -155 | 58.7% |
| ESPN BET |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 7 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.102Net EPA / play+0.168
+0.072 (10)Offense EPA / play+0.151 (5)
-0.030 (13)Defense EPA / play-0.017 (16)
47.1% (8)Offense success %50.7% (2)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Model favors BAL (B-tier, 66% confidence).
HIGH CONVICTION
BAL is one of the model's highest-conviction calls. Its strongest calls hit at a significantly higher rate.
H2H EDGE
BAL has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against CIN.
Net-positive signal profile for BAL. Grade: B.
GAME WEATHERKICKOFF FORECAST · 6 DAYS OUT
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
62°F
WIND
3 MPH
PRECIP
0%
SKY
CLEAR
Hourly forecast for the kickoff hour at the home stadium, source National Weather Service, refreshed hourly. Not an input to the pick.
CLOSING LINE VALUE
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@CINW15 2025 | BAL 24, CIN 0 | BAL | W |
| CIN@BALW13 2025 | CIN 32, BAL 14 | BAL | L |
| CIN@BALW10 2024 | CIN 34, BAL 35 | BAL | W |
| BAL@CINW5 2024 | BAL 41, CIN 38 | BAL | W |
| CIN@BALW11 2023 | CIN 20, BAL 34 | BAL | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCIN vs BAL
Our model takes Baltimore Ravens at 66% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project BAL by 5.4. The market has BAL at -3.5.
Our model favors Baltimore Ravens at 66% win probability, a Tier B pick.
The market has Baltimore Ravens at -3.5, meaning the book expects Baltimore Ravens to win by 3.5 points.
Week 7 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Baltimore Ravens, BAL 24, CIN 0 in Week 15 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Baltimore Ravens: CIN +0.102 against BAL +0.168.
