CIN @ BAL – Week 7 2026
CIN
BAL
CIN
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 7 · 2026 SEASON
BAL
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: BAL 60%Projected margin: -2.1
BAL
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
-2.1
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.138Net EPA / play+0.010
-0.009Offense EPA / play+0.034
+0.130Defense EPA / play+0.024
45.5%Offense success %44.6%
47.8%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL backed by epa edge at 60%.
EPA EDGE
BAL generates 0.034 EPA/play on offense. CIN's defense allows 0.130. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
H2H EDGE
BAL has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against CIN.
Net-positive signal profile for BAL. Grade: C.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | BAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CIN
J.Chase
WR
313.6SEASON PPR
C.Brown
RB
282.6SEASON PPR
T.Higgins
WR
211.6SEASON PPR
BAL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Cincinnati BengalsPASSING
J.Burrow1809 yd · 17 TD · 5 INT
RUSHING
C.Brown1019 yd · 6 TD
S.Perine382 yd · 3 TD
T.Brooks45 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
J.Chase125 rec · 1412 yd · 8 TD
T.Higgins59 rec · 846 yd · 11 TD
C.Brown69 rec · 437 yd · 5 TD
A.Iosivas33 rec · 435 yd · 2 TD
VS
1,809PASSyds2,549
1,446RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@CINW17 2026 | — | CIN | — |
| BAL@CINW15 2025 | BAL 24, CIN 0 | BAL | W |
| CIN@BALW13 2025 | CIN 32, BAL 14 | BAL | L |
| CIN@BALW10 2024 | CIN 34, BAL 35 | BAL | W |
| BAL@CINW5 2024 | BAL 41, CIN 38 | BAL | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSCIN vs BAL
Who is favored in Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens?
Our model takes Baltimore Ravens at 60% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project BAL by 2.1. The market has BAL at -3.5.
When do the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens play?
Week 7 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens game?
Baltimore Ravens, 24-0 in Week 15 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Cincinnati Bengals or the Baltimore Ravens?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Baltimore Ravens: CIN -0.138 against BAL +0.010.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
