Chiefs vs Seahawks – Week 7 2026
KC
SEA
KC
AWAY
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 7 · 2026 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Seahawks over the Chiefs at 66% win probability, a Tier B pick.
The market has the Seahawks at -2.5, and our model is 3.0 points higher on them than the book.
Model confidence: SEA 66%Our line: SEA -5.5
80% range around our line: KC by 12 to SEA by 23. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the SEA game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -2.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -5.5
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
66%
SEA · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
55%
DIFFERENCE
+11%
| SPORTSBOOK | KC | SEA | SEA WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +110 | -130 | 54.5% |
| ESPN BET |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 7 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
Early season: 4 games played for at least one team. These numbers and ranks will move fast.
+0.222Net EPA / play+0.060
+0.172 (4)Offense EPA / play-0.073 (25)
-0.050 (8)Defense EPA / play-0.133 (2)
48.6% (5)Offense success %41.5%
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
SEA is our B-tier play in KC @ SEA (Week 7, 2026). The model assigns 66% confidence and projects SEA by 5.5. The market has SEA -2.5, so it expects SEA to win by 2.5. The model is 3.0 points higher on SEA than the book.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
CLOSING LINE VALUE
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@KCW16 2022 | SEA 10, KC 24 | KC | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSKC vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 66% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 5.5. The market has SEA at -2.5.
Our model favors Seattle Seahawks at 66% win probability, a Tier B pick.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -2.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 2.5 points.
Week 7 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Kansas City Chiefs, SEA 10, KC 24 in Week 16 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Kansas City Chiefs: KC +0.222 against SEA +0.060.
