IND @ MIN – Week 7 2026
IND
MIN
IND
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 7 · 2026 SEASON
MIN
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: MIN 68%Projected margin: -4.9
MIN
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-4.9
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.068Net EPA / play-0.016
+0.072Offense EPA / play-0.116
+0.004Defense EPA / play-0.100
46.3%Offense success %42.6%
45.5%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
MIN is our B-tier play in IND @ MIN (Week 7, 2026). The model assigns 68.4% confidence and projects MIN by 4.9. Market spread sits at MIN -2.5.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
IND
J.Taylor
RB
362.3SEASON PPR
D.Jones
QB
226.4SEASON PPR
M.Pittman
WR
202.4SEASON PPR
MIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Indianapolis ColtsPASSING
D.Jones3101 yd · 19 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
J.Taylor1585 yd · 18 TD
D.Jones164 yd · 5 TD
D.Giddens96 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
A.Pierce47 rec · 1003 yd · 6 TD
T.Warren76 rec · 817 yd · 4 TD
M.Pittman80 rec · 784 yd · 7 TD
J.Downs58 rec · 566 yd · 4 TD
VS
3,101PASSyds1,632
1,845RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@MINW9 2024 | IND 13, MIN 21 | IND | L |
| IND@MINW15 2022 | IND 36, MIN 39 | MIN | W |
| MIN@INDW2 2020 | MIN 11, IND 28 | MIN | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSIND vs MIN
Who is favored in Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings?
Our model takes Minnesota Vikings at 68% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project MIN by 4.9. The market has MIN at -2.5.
When do the Indianapolis Colts and Minnesota Vikings play?
Week 7 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings game?
Minnesota Vikings, 13-21 in Week 9 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Indianapolis Colts or the Minnesota Vikings?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Indianapolis Colts: IND +0.068 against MIN -0.016.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
