2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ IND – Week 2 2020
MIN
IND
MIN
AWAY
11@28
IND +17
FINAL · WEEK 2
2020 SEASON
IND
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIN
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: MIN 57%Projected margin: -4.0
MIN
PICK SIDE
+3.5
SPREAD
-4.0
PROJ MARGIN
+165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN B-tier pick misses. IND takes it.
MISSED
Model picked MIN but IND won. Projected margin was 4.0 -- the model overestimated by 21.0 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 13.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +3.5 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | +165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
No noteworthy trends
IND
Road Favorite 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
MIN
Dalvin Cook
RB
337.8SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
306.2SEASON PPR
Justin Jefferson
WR
274.2SEASON PPR
IND
Jonathan Taylor
RB
252.8SEASON PPR
Philip Rivers
QB
240.0SEASON PPR
Nyheim Hines
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@MINW9 2024 | IND 13, MIN 21 | IND | L |
| IND@MINW15 2022 | IND 36, MIN 39 | MIN | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES