NE @ SEA – Week 2 2020

NE B-tier pick misses. SEA takes it.

Model picked NE but SEA won. Projected margin was 3.7 -- the model overestimated by 8.7 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by just 1.0 point -- a bad-beat loss.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.