Bengals vs Browns – Week 2 2020
CIN
CLE
CIN
AWAY
30@35
CLE BY 5
FINAL · WEEK 2
2020 SEASON
Huntington Bank Field · Cleveland, OH
CLE
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Cincinnati Bengals 30, Cleveland Browns 35.
Going in, our model had favored Cleveland Browns at 52% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 4 Bengals, 4 Browns.
Model confidence: CLE 52%Our line: CLE -0.6
ODDS
SPREAD
CLE -6.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
CLE -0.6
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
CLE · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
52%
CLE · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
69%
DIFFERENCE
-17%
| SOURCE | CIN | CLE | CLE WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing line | +213 | -243 | 69.4% |
WIN % is each book’s odds as a win chance, with the book’s cut taken out. The card above is their average.
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 2
-0.141Net EPA / play+0.011
-0.049 (26)Offense EPA / play+0.088 (10)
+0.092 (26)Defense EPA / play+0.077 (23)
43.6% (23)Offense success %46.6% (9)
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CLE. Projected margin: 0.6. Actual: 5. Off by 4.4 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.0 point, a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
CIN
No noteworthy trends
CLE
Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
65°F
WIND
8 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CLE
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@CINW18 2025 | CLE 20, CIN 18 | CIN | L |
| CIN@CLEW1 2025 | CIN 17, CLE 16 | CIN | W |
| CLE@CINW16 2024 | CLE 6, CIN 24 | CIN | W |
| CIN@CLEW7 2024 | CIN 21, CLE 14 | CIN | W |
| CLE@CINW18 2023 | CLE 14, CIN 31 | CLE | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCIN vs CLE
Our model takes Cleveland Browns at 52% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project CLE by 0.6. The market has CLE at -6.0.
Cleveland Browns won, CIN 30, CLE 35. Our model had favored Cleveland Browns at 52% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Cleveland Browns at -6.0, meaning the book expects Cleveland Browns to win by 6.0 points.
In Week 2, the Cincinnati Bengals were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Cleveland Browns were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful).
Week 2 of the 2020 season, THU 8:20 PM.
Cleveland Browns, CLE 20, CIN 18 in Week 18 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Cleveland Browns: CIN -0.141 against CLE +0.011.
