2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ DAL – Week 2 2020
ATL
DAL
ATL
AWAY
39@40
DAL +1
FINAL · WEEK 2
2020 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER C
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: DAL 54%Projected margin: 1.1
DAL
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
1.1
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected DAL by 1.1. Actual: 1 points. The model was within 0.1 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
DAL
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
ATL
Matt Ryan
QB
282.4SEASON PPR
Calvin Ridley
WR
281.5SEASON PPR
Russell Gage
WR
181.1SEASON PPR
DAL
Amari Cooper
WR
236.8SEASON PPR
Ezekiel Elliott
RB
223.7SEASON PPR
CeeDee Lamb
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 2
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@ATLW9 2024 | DAL 21, ATL 27 | ATL | W |
| ATL@DALW10 2021 | ATL 3, DAL 43 | DAL | W |
WEEK 2 · OTHER GAMES