2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ ATL – Week 9 2024
DAL
ATL
DAL
AWAY
21@27
ATL +6
FINAL · WEEK 9
2024 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ATL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ATL 64%Projected margin: 2.9
ATL
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
2.9
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked ATL. Projected margin: 2.9. Actual: 6. Off by 3.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -166 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
home_underdog 2-5 ATS (29%)Home Underdog 2-5 ATS (29%)
ATL
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
DAL
C.Lamb
WR
263.4SEASON PPR
R.Dowdle
RB
197.8SEASON PPR
J.Tolbert
WR
152.0SEASON PPR
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
341.7SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
280.8SEASON PPR
D.Mooney
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@DALW10 2021 | ATL 3, DAL 43 | DAL | W |
| ATL@DALW2 2020 | ATL 39, DAL 40 | DAL | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES