Rams vs Seahawks – Week 9 2024
LA
SEA
LA
AWAY
26@20
LA BY 6
FINAL · WEEK 9
2024 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Los Angeles Rams 26, Seattle Seahawks 20.
Going in, our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Rams, 4 Seahawks.
Model confidence: LA 62%Our line: LA -4.1
ODDS
SPREAD
LA -1.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LA -4.1
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
LA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
62%
TEAM COMPARISON2024 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 9
-0.030Net EPA / play-0.018
+0.014 (16)Offense EPA / play-0.030 (19)
+0.044 (25)Defense EPA / play-0.012 (11)
46.8% (10)Offense success %43.9% (16)
GAME NARRATIVE
LA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected LA by 4.1. Actual: 6 points. The model was within 1.9 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 14 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
LA
road_favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)home_underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
SEA
home_underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
52°F
WIND
4 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2024 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@SEAW16 2025 | LA 37, SEA 38 | LA | L |
| SEA@LAW11 2025 | SEA 19, LA 21 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW18 2024 | SEA 30, LA 25 | LA | L |
| SEA@LAW11 2023 | SEA 16, LA 17 | SEA | L |
| LA@SEAW1 2023 | LA 30, SEA 13 | SEA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLA vs SEA
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 62% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project LA by 4.1. The market has LA at -1.5.
Los Angeles Rams won, LA 26, SEA 20. Our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Los Angeles Rams at -1.5, meaning the book expects Los Angeles Rams to win by 1.5 points.
In Week 9, the Los Angeles Rams were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 48.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 44.8, 3.7 below the market.
Week 9 of the 2024 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, LA 37, SEA 38 in Week 16 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2024 season, Seattle Seahawks: LA -0.030 against SEA -0.018.
