2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ ARI – Week 9 2024
CHI
ARI
CHI
AWAY
9@29
ARI +20
FINAL · WEEK 9
2024 SEASON
ARI
HOME
TIER C
PICK: ARI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ARI 64%Projected margin: 1.9
ARI
PICK SIDE
-1.5
SPREAD
1.9
PROJ MARGIN
-124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ARI C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked ARI. Projected margin: 1.9. Actual: 20. Off by 18.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.5 | ARI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -120 | Won · +$0.81 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
home_underdog 3-1 ATS (75%)divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)Home Underdog 3-1 ATS (75%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)
ARI
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
CHI
C.Williams
QB
254.5SEASON PPR
D.Moore
WR
238.1SEASON PPR
D.Swift
RB
214.5SEASON PPR
ARI
K.Murray
QB
297.2SEASON PPR
J.Conner
RB
253.8SEASON PPR
T.McBride
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@CHIW16 2023 | ARI 16, CHI 27 | CHI | W |
| ARI@CHIW13 2021 | ARI 33, CHI 22 | ARI | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES