TIER BPICK: ARI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ARI 64%Projected margin: -3.9
GAME NARRATIVE
ARI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked ARI. Projected margin: 3.9. Actual: 11. Off by 7.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
COLD GAME
34°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ARI
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
CHI
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
ARI5 LISTEDDeAndre Hopkins
WR · Hamstring
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS