2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ CIN – Week 13 2021
LAC
CIN
LAC
AWAY
41@22
LAC +19
FINAL · WEEK 13
2021 SEASON
CIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CIN
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: CIN 55%Projected margin: 2.4
CIN
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
2.4
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN B-tier pick misses. LAC takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CIN but LAC won. Projected margin was 2.4 -- the model overestimated by 21.4 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 21.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | CIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -141 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
No noteworthy trends
CIN
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
48°F
WIND
11 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
LAC
Justin Herbert
QB
380.8SEASON PPR
Austin Ekeler
RB
343.8SEASON PPR
Keenan Allen
WR
257.8SEASON PPR
CIN
Joe Burrow
QB
314.2SEASON PPR
Ja'Marr Chase
WR
304.6SEASON PPR
Joe Mixon
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@LACW11 2024 | CIN 27, LAC 34 | LAC | W |
| LAC@CINW1 2020 | LAC 16, CIN 13 | LAC | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES