2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ LV – Week 13 2021
WAS
LV
WAS
AWAY
17@15
WAS +2
FINAL · WEEK 13
2021 SEASON
LV
HOME
TIER C
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: WAS 52%Projected margin: -0.9
WAS
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
-0.9
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected WAS by 0.9. Actual: 2 points. The model was within 1.1 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -128 | Won · +$1.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 2-3 ATS (40%)
LV
Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
WAS
Antonio Gibson
RB
229.1SEASON PPR
Taylor Heinicke
QB
222.9SEASON PPR
Terry McLaurin
WR
213.5SEASON PPR
LV
Hunter Renfrow
WR
259.1SEASON PPR
Derek Carr
QB
257.0SEASON PPR
Josh Jacobs
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV@WASW3 2025 | LV 24, WAS 41 | WAS | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES