2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LV @ WAS – Week 3 2025
LV
WAS
LV
AWAY
24@41
WAS +17
FINAL · WEEK 3
2025 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER C
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: WAS 67%Projected margin: 4.5
WAS
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
4.5
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked WAS. Projected margin: 4.5. Actual: 17. Off by 12.5 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LV
No noteworthy trends
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
72°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LV
A.Jeanty
RB
245.1SEASON PPR
B.Bowers
TE
176.2SEASON PPR
G.Smith
QB
173.9SEASON PPR
WAS
D.Samuel
WR
188.2SEASON PPR
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
140.3SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@LVW13 2021 | WAS 17, LV 15 | WAS | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES