TIER CPICK: ARI
PICK LOSTATS ✓
Model confidence: ARI 59%Projected margin: 0.0
GAME NARRATIVE
ARI C-tier pick misses. SF takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ARI but SF won. Projected margin was 0.0 -- the model overestimated by 1.0 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 0.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ARI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
SF
Road Favorite 6-0 ATS (100%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
ARI5 LISTEDParis Johnson Jr.
T · Knee
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS