2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ SEA – Week 3 2025
NO
SEA
NO
AWAY
13@44
SEA +31
FINAL · WEEK 3
2025 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER A
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 72%Projected margin: 6.8
SEA
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
6.8
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 6.8. Actual: 31. Off by 24.2 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 23.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.34 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
SEA
Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
63°F
WIND
3 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NO
C.Olave
WR
268.0SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
179.9SEASON PPR
T.Shough
QB
158.0SEASON PPR
SEA
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
359.9SEASON PPR
S.Darnold
QB
235.4SEASON PPR
K.Walker
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@NOW5 2022 | SEA 32, NO 39 | SEA | L |
| NO@SEAW7 2021 | NO 13, SEA 10 | NO | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES