2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ PHI – Week 3 2025
LA
PHI
LA
AWAY
26@33
PHI +7
FINAL · WEEK 3
2025 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER C
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PHI 63%Projected margin: 3.0
PHI
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
3.0
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 3.0. Actual: 7. Off by 4.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
Road Favorite 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
73°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LA
P.Nacua
WR
375.0SEASON PPR
M.Stafford
QB
350.4SEASON PPR
K.Williams
RB
263.3SEASON PPR
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@LAW12 2024 | PHI 37, LA 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@LAW5 2023 | PHI 23, LA 14 | PHI | W |
| LA@PHIW2 2020 | LA 37, PHI 19 | LA | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES