2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ LA – Week 5 2023
PHI
LA
PHI
AWAY
23@14
PHI +9
FINAL · WEEK 5
2023 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PHI 71%Projected margin: -5.2
PHI
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
-5.2
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 5.2. Actual: 9. Off by 3.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 5.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -192 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)
LA
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
PHI
Jalen Hurts
QB
356.8SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
289.6SEASON PPR
DeVonta Smith
WR
227.6SEASON PPR
LA
Puka Nacua
WR
298.5SEASON PPR
Kyren Williams
RB
255.0SEASON PPR
Matthew Stafford
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@PHIW3 2025 | LA 26, PHI 33 | PHI | W |
| PHI@LAW12 2024 | PHI 37, LA 20 | PHI | W |
| LA@PHIW2 2020 | LA 37, PHI 19 | LA | W |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES