TIER CPICK: ATL
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: ATL 59%Projected margin: 1.7
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected ATL by 1.7. Actual: 2 points. The model was within 0.3 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 0.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
HOU
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HOU7 LISTEDChristian Harris
LB · Concussion
OUT
Maliek Collins
DT · Abdomen
QUESTIONABLE
Shaquill Griffin
CB · Calf
QUESTIONABLE