TIER CPICK: NE
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: NE 59%Projected margin: 0.9
GAME NARRATIVE
NE C-tier pick misses. NO takes it.
MISSED
Model picked NE but NO won. Projected margin was 0.9 -- the model overestimated by 34.9 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 36.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
NE
Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
NO7 LISTEDLonnie Johnson
S · Hamstring
OUT
Derek Carr
QB · right Shoulder
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS