2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ DET – Week 5 2023
CAR
DET
CAR
AWAY
24@42
DET +18
FINAL · WEEK 5
2023 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: DET
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DET 78%Projected margin: 9.1
DET
PICK SIDE
-9.5
SPREAD
9.1
PROJ MARGIN
-392
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DET A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DET. Projected margin: 9.1. Actual: 18. Off by 8.9 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -9.5 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -392 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -455 | Won · +$0.26 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Divisional 2-3 ATS (40%)
DET
Road Favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
CAR
Adam Thielen
WR
231.0SEASON PPR
Chuba Hubbard
RB
182.5SEASON PPR
Bryce Young
QB
156.4SEASON PPR
DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
330.9SEASON PPR
Jared Goff
QB
289.1SEASON PPR
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@CARW16 2022 | DET 23, CAR 37 | DET | L |
| DET@CARW11 2020 | DET 0, CAR 20 | DET | L |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES