2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
GB @ CLE – Week 3 2025
GB
CLE
GB
AWAY
10@13
CLE +3
FINAL · WEEK 3
2025 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: GB
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 81%Projected margin: -9.7
GB
PICK SIDE
-8.5
SPREAD
-9.7
PROJ MARGIN
-340
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB A+-tier pick misses. CLE takes it.
MISSED
Model picked GB but CLE won. Projected margin was 9.7 -- the model overestimated by 12.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 11.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -340 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
CLE
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
79°F
WIND
10 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
GB
J.Jacobs
RB
237.1SEASON PPR
J.Love
QB
235.1SEASON PPR
R.Doubs
WR
165.4SEASON PPR
CLE
H.Fannin
TE
186.4SEASON PPR
Q.Judkins
RB
169.8SEASON PPR
J.Jeudy
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@GBW16 2021 | CLE 22, GB 24 | GB | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES