2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ GB – Week 16 2021
CLE
GB
CLE
AWAY
22@24
GB +2
FINAL · WEEK 16
2021 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER B
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 63%Projected margin: 5.7
GB
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
5.7
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 5.7. Actual: 2. Off by 3.7 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -430 | Won · +$0.34 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
35°F
WIND
11 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
CLE
Nick Chubb
RB
215.3SEASON PPR
Baker Mayfield
QB
180.9SEASON PPR
Jarvis Landry
WR
133.0SEASON PPR
GB
Davante Adams
WR
344.3SEASON PPR
Aaron Rodgers
QB
333.3SEASON PPR
Aaron Jones
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@CLEW3 2025 | GB 10, CLE 13 | GB | L |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES