TIER BPICK: SEA
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: SEA 60%Projected margin: 4.1
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick misses. CHI takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SEA but CHI won. Projected margin was 4.1 -- the model overestimated by 5.1 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 8.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
COLD GAME
25°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
CHI7 LISTEDAndy Dalton
QB · left Hand
OUT
Jakeem Grant
WR · Concussion
OUT
Xavier Crawford
CB · Concussion
OUT
Marquise Goodwin
WR · Foot
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS