BAL @ CIN – Week 16 2021

BAL C-tier pick misses. CIN takes it.

Model picked BAL but CIN won. Projected margin was 0.7 -- the model overestimated by 20.7 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 12.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.