2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ MIN – Week 16 2021
LA
MIN
LA
AWAY
30@23
LA +7
FINAL · WEEK 16
2021 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LA 54%Projected margin: -2.2
LA
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
-2.2
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 2.2. Actual: 7. Off by 4.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -177 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
Road Favorite 3-5 ATS (38%)
MIN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
439.5SEASON PPR
Matthew Stafford
QB
329.7SEASON PPR
Van Jefferson
WR
168.2SEASON PPR
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
330.4SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
300.3SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@LAW8 2024 | MIN 20, LA 30 | LA | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES