BUF @ NE – Week 16 2021

NE C-tier pick misses. BUF takes it.

Model picked NE but BUF won. Projected margin was 1.3 -- the model overestimated by 13.3 points.

Missed the spread by 13.0 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.