2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ SEA – Week 7 2021
NO
SEA
NO
AWAY
13@10
NO +3
FINAL · WEEK 7
2021 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: NO 58%Projected margin: -2.6
NO
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
-2.6
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected NO by 2.6. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 0.4 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 3.0 points.
HIGH WIND
16 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -237 | Won · +$0.42 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
SEA
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
54°F
WIND
16 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
234.7SEASON PPR
Marquez Callaway
WR
151.8SEASON PPR
Taysom Hill
TE
121.7SEASON PPR
SEA
DK Metcalf
WR
244.3SEASON PPR
Russell Wilson
QB
242.8SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@SEAW3 2025 | NO 13, SEA 44 | SEA | W |
| SEA@NOW5 2022 | SEA 32, NO 39 | SEA | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES