2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DEN @ CLE – Week 7 2021
DEN
CLE
DEN
AWAY
14@17
CLE +3
FINAL · WEEK 7
2021 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CLE 57%Projected margin: 2.8
CLE
PICK SIDE
-2.0
SPREAD
2.8
PROJ MARGIN
-133
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CLE by 2.8. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 0.2 points of the real margin.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.0 points.
HIGH WIND
27 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.0 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -133 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -121 | Won · +$0.75 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DEN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Windy 1-4 ATS (20%)
CLE
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
59°F
WIND
27 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
DEN
Javonte Williams
RB
204.9SEASON PPR
Teddy Bridgewater
QB
202.7SEASON PPR
Melvin Gordon
RB
195.1SEASON PPR
CLE
Nick Chubb
RB
215.3SEASON PPR
Baker Mayfield
QB
180.9SEASON PPR
Jarvis Landry
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@DENW13 2024 | CLE 32, DEN 41 | DEN | W |
| CLE@DENW12 2023 | CLE 12, DEN 29 | CLE | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES