2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ NYG – Week 7 2021
CAR
NYG
CAR
AWAY
3@25
NYG +22
FINAL · WEEK 7
2021 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CAR
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: CAR 55%Projected margin: -3.0
CAR
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-3.0
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CAR B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CAR but NYG won. Projected margin was 3.0 -- the model overestimated by 25.0 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 25.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | CAR market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -154 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NYG
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
57°F
WIND
0 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
CAR
DJ Moore
WR
237.5SEASON PPR
Sam Darnold
QB
157.3SEASON PPR
Robbie Chosen
WR
138.5SEASON PPR
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
167.5SEASON PPR
Saquon Barkley
RB
148.6SEASON PPR
Devontae Booker
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@CARW10 2024 | NYG 17, CAR 20 | CAR | W |
| CAR@NYGW2 2022 | CAR 16, NYG 19 | CAR | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES