Giants vs Panthers – Week 10 2024
NYG
CAR
NYG
AWAY
17@20
CAR BY 3
FINAL · WEEK 10
2024 SEASON
Bank of America Stadium · Charlotte, NC
CAR
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 17, Carolina Panthers 20.
Going in, our model had favored Carolina Panthers at 59% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Giants, 3 Panthers.
Model confidence: CAR 59%Our line: CAR -3.1
ODDS
SPREAD
CAR +6.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
CAR -3.1
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
CAR · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
59%
TEAM COMPARISON2024 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 10
-0.170Net EPA / play-0.213
-0.107 (28)Offense EPA / play-0.053 (23)
+0.063 (28)Defense EPA / play+0.160 (32)
40.5% (25)Offense success %41.3% (22)
GAME NARRATIVE
CAR C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CAR by 3.1. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 0.1 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 9.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
home_underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
CAR
home_underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
CAR
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2024 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@NYGW2 2022 | CAR 16, NYG 19 | CAR | L |
| CAR@NYGW7 2021 | CAR 3, NYG 25 | CAR | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs CAR
Our model takes Carolina Panthers at 59% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project CAR by 3.1. The market has CAR at +6.5.
Carolina Panthers won, NYG 17, CAR 20. Our model had favored Carolina Panthers at 59% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Carolina Panthers at +6.5, meaning the book expects Carolina Panthers to win by 6.5 points.
In Week 10, the New York Giants were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Carolina Panthers were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 40.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.3, 4.8 above the market.
Week 10 of the 2024 season, SUN 9:30 AM.
New York Giants, CAR 16, NYG 19 in Week 2 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2024 season, New York Giants: NYG -0.170 against CAR -0.213.
