2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ WAS – Week 10 2024
PIT
WAS
PIT
AWAY
28@27
PIT +1
FINAL · WEEK 10
2024 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER C
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 59%Projected margin: -0.6
PIT
PICK SIDE
+1.5
SPREAD
-0.6
PROJ MARGIN
+124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PIT by 0.6. Actual: 1 points. The model was within 0.4 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.5 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | +124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +102 | Won · +$1.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
WAS
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
57°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
PIT
N.Harris
RB
204.6SEASON PPR
R.Wilson
QB
172.8SEASON PPR
P.Freiermuth
TE
168.3SEASON PPR
WAS
J.Daniels
QB
355.8SEASON PPR
T.McLaurin
WR
267.8SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@PITW13 2020 | WAS 23, PIT 17 | PIT | L |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES