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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

DET

HOU

DET

AWAY

26@23

DET +3

FINAL · WEEK 10

2024 SEASON

HOU

HOME

PRO PICK

THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for DET @ HOU are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.

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TEAM COMPARISON

DET	METRIC	HOU
+0.203	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.037
+0.165	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.045
-0.039	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.082
595	POINTS FOR	418
387	POINTS AGAINST	407
53.6%	PASS RATE	59.0%
100.0%	RED ZONE TD%	72.0%
32.7%	4TH DOWN GO%	14.3%

DETANALYTICS →HOUANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	-4.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

44.9

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

DET

road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)divisional 4-1 ATS (80%)

HOU

road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

DET

J.Gibbs

RB

354.9PPR

J.Goff

QB

324.5PPR

A.St. Brown

WR

316.2PPR

HOU

J.Mixon

RB

240.5PPR

C.Stroud

QB

220.4PPR

N.Collins

WR

210.6PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 10

DET7 LISTED

Emmanuel Moseley

CB · Pectoral

OUT

Taylor Decker

T · Shoulder

OUT

Jalen Reeves-Maybin

LB · Neck

OUT

Brodric Martin

DT · Knee

OUT

Ifeatu Melifonwu

S · Ankle

OUT

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
HOU@DETW12 2020	HOU 41, DET 25

FULL COMPARISON →

DET ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

HOU ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES

TEN@LAC

17-27

DEN@KC

14-16

CIN@BAL

34-35

NYJ@ARI

6-31

NE@CHI

19-3

MIA@LA

23-15

SF@TB

23-20

← WEEK 10 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Malcolm Rodriguez

LB · Ankle

OUT

Za'Darius Smith

DE · Not injury related - personal matter

QUESTIONABLE

HOU8 LISTED

Will Anderson

DE · Ankle

OUT

Dameon Pierce

RB · Groin

OUT

Jeff Okudah

CB · Quadricep

QUESTIONABLE

Nico Collins

WR · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

Jerry Hughes

DE · Hip

QUESTIONABLE

Jake Hansen

LB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Tank Dell

WR · Back

QUESTIONABLE

Folorunso Fatukasi

DT · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

DET SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

37.2%

BLITZ RATE

27.6%

MOTION

47.5%

RPO

2.0%

SCREEN

11.9%

NO HUDDLE

3.7%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

60.1%

C.J. StroudHOU

TIME TO THROW

2.93s

C.J. StroudHOU

SEPARATION

3.6 yds

Amon-Ra St. BrownDET

RUSH EFFICIENCY

5.0

David MontgomeryDET

AGGRESSIVENESS

15.2%

C.J. StroudHOU

AVG YAC

5.8 yds

Amon-Ra St. BrownDET

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

HOU SCHEME RATES

19 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

26.1%

BLITZ RATE

27.8%

MOTION

44.4%

RPO

1.6%

SCREEN

9.9%

NO HUDDLE

4.5%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

HOU ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

19.7%

DROP %

3.7%

PRESSURE %

22.6%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.9

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

35

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

61.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

80.5

MISSED TACKLE %

14.2%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

DET ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

9.6%

DROP %

2.6%

PRESSURE %

18.0%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.2

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

43

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

65.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

83.8

MISSED TACKLE %

11.1%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

DET @ HOU – Week 10 2024