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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

BUF

IND

BUF

AWAY

30@20

BUF +10

FINAL · WEEK 10

2024 SEASON

IND

HOME

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THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for BUF @ IND are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.

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TEAM COMPARISON

BUF	METRIC	IND
+0.181	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.061
+0.190	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.057
+0.009	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.004
612	POINTS FOR	377
432	POINTS AGAINST	427
51.8%	PASS RATE	52.7%
95.5%	RED ZONE TD%	65.2%
24.6%	4TH DOWN GO%	21.4%

BUFANALYTICS →INDANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	-4.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

45.0

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

BUF

road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)

IND

divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

BUF

J.Allen

QB

372.3PPR

J.Cook

RB

266.7PPR

K.Shakir

WR

182.5PPR

IND

J.Taylor

RB

246.7PPR

J.Downs

WR

182.2PPR

M.Pittman

WR

165.8PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 10

BUF4 LISTED

Keon Coleman

WR · Wrist

OUT

Amari Cooper

WR · Wrist

QUESTIONABLE

Reggie Gilliam

FB · Hip

QUESTIONABLE

Baylon Spector

LB · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

IND1 LISTED

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
IND@BUFW11 2021	IND 41, BUF 15

FULL COMPARISON →

BUF ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

IND ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES

TEN@LAC

17-27

DEN@KC

14-16

CIN@BAL

34-35

NYJ@ARI

6-31

NE@CHI

19-3

MIA@LA

23-15

SF@TB

23-20

← WEEK 10 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Michael Pittman

WR · Back

OUT

IND SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

33.8%

BLITZ RATE

26.5%

MOTION

32.3%

RPO

4.0%

SCREEN

7.7%

NO HUDDLE

9.3%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

BUF SCHEME RATES

20 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

22.4%

BLITZ RATE

28.2%

MOTION

41.8%

RPO

4.7%

SCREEN

12.6%

NO HUDDLE

6.2%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

69.4%

Joe FlaccoIND

TIME TO THROW

2.54s

Josh AllenBUF

SEPARATION

5.1 yds

Dalton KincaidBUF

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.2

Jonathan TaylorIND

AGGRESSIVENESS

11.4%

Joe FlaccoIND

AVG YAC

10.0 yds

Dalton KincaidBUF

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

BUF ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

16.3%

DROP %

3.6%

PRESSURE %

13.6%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.2

YAC/ATT

1.8

BROKEN TACKLES

39

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

69.7%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

88.1

MISSED TACKLE %

9.5%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

IND ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

21.9%

DROP %

4.5%

PRESSURE %

20.4%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.9

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

28

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

75.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

91.4

MISSED TACKLE %

13.9%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

BUF @ IND – Week 10 2024