NFL WEEK 10 2024 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
14 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 11-3 straight up in Week 10 2024.
The most confident pick, the Kansas City Chiefs at 74%, won 16-14.
Our most confident Week 10 pick is the Kansas City Chiefs over the Denver Broncos, at 74% win probability.
No game on the Week 10 slate is a coin flip; every pick clears 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Chicago Bears at 69% win probability lost 3-19.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 5-3 (63%) against a 66% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 10 2024 pick is the Kansas City Chiefs over the Denver Broncos, at 74% win probability.
No game in Week 10 2024 is a coin flip on our model; every pick clears 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 10, 2024, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 11-3 straight up in Week 10 2024.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Chicago Bears at 69% win probability lost 3-19. The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 5-3 (63%) against a 66% all-time rate.