2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ ARI – Week 10 2024
NYJ
ARI
NYJ
AWAY
6@31
ARI +25
FINAL · WEEK 10
2024 SEASON
ARI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ARI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ARI 70%Projected margin: 5.2
ARI
PICK SIDE
+2.0
SPREAD
5.2
PROJ MARGIN
+133
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ARI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked ARI. Projected margin: 5.2. Actual: 25. Off by 19.8 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 27.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +2.0 | ARI market line | |
| MODEL ML | +133 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +110 | Won · +$1.33 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
ARI
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NYJ
A.Rodgers
QB
256.6SEASON PPR
G.Wilson
WR
251.9SEASON PPR
B.Hall
RB
240.9SEASON PPR
ARI
K.Murray
QB
297.2SEASON PPR
J.Conner
RB
253.8SEASON PPR
T.McBride
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@NYJW5 2020 | ARI 30, NYJ 10 | ARI | W |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES