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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

NYJ

ARI

NYJ

AWAY

6@31

ARI +25

FINAL · WEEK 10

2024 SEASON

ARI

HOME

PRO PICK

THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for NYJ @ ARI are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.

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TEAM COMPARISON

NYJ	METRIC	ARI
-0.037	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.011
-0.013	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.067
+0.024	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.056
338	POINTS FOR	400
404	POINTS AGAINST	379
64.4%	PASS RATE	55.5%
68.2%	RED ZONE TD%	76.2%
20.9%	4TH DOWN GO%	17.5%

NYJANALYTICS →ARIANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	-2.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

44.6

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

NYJ

road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)

ARI

divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

NYJ

A.Rodgers

QB

256.6PPR

G.Wilson

WR

251.9PPR

B.Hall

RB

240.9PPR

ARI

K.Murray

QB

297.2PPR

J.Conner

RB

253.8PPR

T.McBride

TE

243.8PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 10

NYJ8 LISTED

C.J. Mosley

LB · Neck

OUT

Jake Hanson

G · Hamstring

OUT

Solomon Thomas

DT · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Tyler Conklin

TE · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Chazz Surratt

LB · Heel

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
ARI@NYJW5 2020	ARI 30, NYJ 10

FULL COMPARISON →

NYJ ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

ARI ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES

TEN@LAC

17-27

DEN@KC

14-16

CIN@BAL

34-35

NE@CHI

19-3

MIA@LA

23-15

SF@TB

23-20

ATL@NO

17-20

← WEEK 10 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Michael Carter

CB · Back

QUESTIONABLE

Alijah Vera-Tucker

G · Ankle [Not Injury Related - Personal, Thursday Only]

QUESTIONABLE

Morgan Moses

T · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

ARI3 LISTED

Darius Robinson

DT · Calf

OUT

Jonah Williams

T · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Jalen Thompson

S · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

ARI SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

31.4%

BLITZ RATE

25.6%

MOTION

28.8%

RPO

1.1%

SCREEN

8.3%

NO HUDDLE

8.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.1

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NYJ ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

15.2%

DROP %

6.5%

PRESSURE %

18.8%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.4

YAC/ATT

2.3

BROKEN TACKLES

19

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

67.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

85.1

MISSED TACKLE %

13.7%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

69.7%

Kyler MurrayARI

TIME TO THROW

2.49s

Kyler MurrayARI

SEPARATION

3.8 yds

Trey McBrideARI

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.2

Trey BensonARI

AGGRESSIVENESS

20.8%

Kyler MurrayARI

AVG YAC

6.4 yds

Trey McBrideARI

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

NYJ SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

26.7%

BLITZ RATE

26.0%

MOTION

37.0%

RPO

3.8%

SCREEN

9.5%

NO HUDDLE

6.8%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

ARI ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

11.2%

DROP %

3.4%

PRESSURE %

14.2%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.5

YAC/ATT

2.3

BROKEN TACKLES

33

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

76.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

92.0

MISSED TACKLE %

11.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NYJ @ ARI – Week 10 2024