Skip to content
NOPUNT
Dashboard
Picks
Results
Rankings
Teams
Players
More
GO PRO
MIN @ JAX · Week 10 2024 · NoPunt
2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ JAX – Week 10 2024
MIN
JAX
MIN
AWAY
12
@
7
MIN +5
FINAL · WEEK 10
2024 SEASON
JAX
HOME
PRO PICK
THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED
Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for MIN @ JAX are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.
UNLOCK WITH NOPUNT PRO →
TEAM COMPARISON
MIN
METRIC
JAX
+0.071
NET EPA/PLAY
-0.149
-0.010
OFF EPA/PLAY
-0.020
-0.081
DEF EPA/PLAY
+0.129
441
POINTS FOR
320
359
POINTS AGAINST
435
58.8%
PASS RATE
58.9%
78.3%
RED ZONE TD%
82.6%
14.5%
4TH DOWN GO%
21.9%
MINANALYTICS →
JAXANALYTICS →
BETTING LINE
FIELD
VALUE
NOTES
SPREAD
-7.0
Market line
LIVE ML
—
Last observed market ML
GAME TOTAL
PREDICTED TOTAL
44.1
ALL GAME TOTALS →
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)
road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
JAX
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
home_underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
79°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
JAX
MIN
KEY PLAYERS
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
317.5
PPR
S.Darnold
QB
308.0
PPR
A.Jones
RB
241.6
PPR
JAX
B.Thomas
WR
284.0
PPR
T.Lawrence
QB
145.7
PPR
T.Etienne
RB
130.2
PPR
INJURY REPORT
WEEK 10
MIN
3 LISTED
Blake Cashman
LB · Toe
QUESTIONABLE
Ivan Pace
LB · Knee
QUESTIONABLE
Gabriel Murphy
DE · Knee
QUESTIONABLE
JAX
10 LISTED
Maason Smith
DT · Ankle
OUT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
LAST 1 MEETINGS
GAME
SCORE
JAX
@
MIN
W13 2020
JAX 24, MIN 27
FULL COMPARISON →
MIN ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
JAX ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
VS
COMPARE
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES
TEN
@
LAC
17-27
DEN
@
KC
14-16
CIN
@
BAL
34-35
NYJ
@
ARI
6-31
NE
@
CHI
19-3
MIA
@
LA
23-15
SF
@
TB
23-20
← WEEK 10 PICKS
FULL RESULTS LEDGER →
KICKOFF
MIN 100%
HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR
MIN ROSTER →
JAX ROSTER →
Ezra Cleveland
G · Ankle
OUT
Gabe Davis
WR · Shoulder
QUESTIONABLE
Daniel Thomas
S · Hamstring
QUESTIONABLE
Devin Duvernay
WR · Hamstring
QUESTIONABLE
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Left Shoulder
QUESTIONABLE
Keilan Robinson
RB · Toe
QUESTIONABLE
Andrew Wingard
S · Knee
QUESTIONABLE
Brian Thomas
WR · Chest
QUESTIONABLE
D'Ernest Johnson
RB · Hamstring
QUESTIONABLE
ATL
@
NO
17-20
PHI
@
DAL
34-6
BUF
@
IND
30-20
NYG
@
CAR
17-20
PIT
@
WAS
28-27
DET
@
HOU
26-23
MIN SCHEME RATES
18 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
30.1%
BLITZ RATE
20.9%
MOTION
41.6%
RPO
2.1%
SCREEN
9.8%
NO HUDDLE
10.4%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.2
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
JAX SCHEME RATES
17 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
24.3%
BLITZ RATE
24.4%
MOTION
27.6%
RPO
3.1%
SCREEN
10.2%
NO HUDDLE
10.6%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
NEXT GEN STATS
EXP COMP %
61.6%
Mac Jones
JAX
TIME TO THROW
2.92s
Mac Jones
JAX
SEPARATION
4.7 yds
Evan Engram
JAX
RUSH EFFICIENCY
3.0
Aaron Jones
MIN
AGGRESSIVENESS
15.8%
Sam Darnold
MIN
AVG YAC
3.7 yds
Justin Jefferson
MIN
GREEN
= ELITE VS LEAGUE
SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS
MIN ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
13.0%
DROP %
3.1%
PRESSURE %
25.9%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.0
YAC/ATT
1.5
BROKEN TACKLES
18
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
67.4%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
83.2
MISSED TACKLE %
9.1%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON
JAX ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
17.0%
DROP %
4.1%
PRESSURE %
15.3%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.6
YAC/ATT
1.9
BROKEN TACKLES
19
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
69.0%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
89.7
MISSED TACKLE %
11.8%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON