2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
JAX @ MIN – Week 13 2020
JAX
MIN
JAX
AWAY
24@27
MIN +3
FINAL · WEEK 13
2020 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: MIN
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: MIN 73%Projected margin: 8.8
MIN
PICK SIDE
-10.5
SPREAD
8.8
PROJ MARGIN
-453
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked MIN. Projected margin: 8.8. Actual: 3. Off by 5.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 7.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.5 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -453 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -445 | Won · +$0.22 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
JAX
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
MIN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
JAX
James Robinson
RB
250.4SEASON PPR
Gardner Minshew
QB
160.7SEASON PPR
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR
157.1SEASON PPR
MIN
Dalvin Cook
RB
337.8SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
306.2SEASON PPR
Justin Jefferson
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@JAXW10 2024 | MIN 12, JAX 7 | MIN | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES