2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ BAL – Week 13 2020
DAL
BAL
DAL
AWAY
17@34
BAL +17
FINAL · WEEK 13
2020 SEASON
BAL
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: BAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BAL 67%Projected margin: 7.4
BAL
PICK SIDE
-8.5
SPREAD
7.4
PROJ MARGIN
-340
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BAL. Projected margin: 7.4. Actual: 17. Off by 9.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.5 | BAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -340 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -390 | Won · +$0.29 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
BAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
38°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
DAL
Amari Cooper
WR
236.8SEASON PPR
Ezekiel Elliott
RB
223.7SEASON PPR
CeeDee Lamb
WR
217.7SEASON PPR
BAL
Lamar Jackson
QB
332.8SEASON PPR
Marquise Brown
WR
183.0SEASON PPR
Mark Andrews
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@DALW3 2024 | BAL 28, DAL 25 | DAL | L |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES