Eagles vs Packers – Week 13 2020
PHI
GB
PHI
AWAY
16@30
GB BY 14
FINAL · WEEK 13
2020 SEASON
Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WI
GB
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Philadelphia Eagles 16, Green Bay Packers 30.
Going in, our model had favored Green Bay Packers at 71% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Eagles, 1 Packers.
Model confidence: GB 71%Our line: GB -7.4
ODDS
SPREAD
GB -8.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
GB -7.4
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
GB · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
71%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 13
-0.107Net EPA / play+0.196
-0.089 (30)Offense EPA / play+0.219 (1)
+0.018 (13)Defense EPA / play+0.022 (14)
40.6% (30)Offense success %50.7% (1)
GAME NARRATIVE
GB A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 7.4. Actual: 14. Off by 6.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.0 points.
COLD GAME
34°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Cold Weather 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
34°F
WIND
9 MPH
COLD GAME
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
Carson Wentz
QB
198.4 SEASON PPR
Miles Sanders
RB
170.4 SEASON PPR
Greg Ward
WR
133.1 SEASON PPR
GB
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Philadelphia EaglesPASSING
Carson Wentz2620 yd · 16 TD · 15 INT
RECEIVING
Travis Fulgham38 rec · 539 yd · 4 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@GBW10 2025 | PHI 10, GB 7 | PHI | W |
| GB@PHIW1 2024 | GB 29, PHI 34 | GB | L |
| GB@PHIW12 2022 | GB 33, PHI 40 | PHI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs GB
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 71% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project GB by 7.4. The market has GB at -8.0.
Green Bay Packers won, PHI 16, GB 30. Our model had favored Green Bay Packers at 71% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Green Bay Packers at -8.0, meaning the book expects Green Bay Packers to win by 8.0 points.
In Week 13, the Philadelphia Eagles were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Green Bay Packers were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 50.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.0, 4.0 below the market.
Week 13 of the 2020 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, PHI 10, GB 7 in Week 10 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Green Bay Packers: PHI -0.107 against GB +0.196.
