Browns vs Titans – Week 13 2020
CLE
TEN
CLE
AWAY
41@35
CLE BY 6
FINAL · WEEK 13
2020 SEASON
Nissan Stadium · Nashville, TN
TEN
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Cleveland Browns 41, Tennessee Titans 35.
Going in, our model had favored Tennessee Titans at 57% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 4 Browns, 3 Titans.
Model confidence: TEN 57%Our line: TEN -2.3
ODDS
SPREAD
TEN -4.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
TEN -2.3
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TEN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
57%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 13
+0.011Net EPA / play+0.053
+0.088 (10)Offense EPA / play+0.171 (3)
+0.077 (23)Defense EPA / play+0.117 (28)
46.6% (9)Offense success %50.1% (3)
GAME NARRATIVE
TEN B-tier pick misses. CLE takes it.
MISSED
Model picked TEN but CLE won. Projected margin was 2.3, the model overestimated by 8.3 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 10.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
CLE
Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
TEN
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
52°F
WIND
1 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@CLEW14 2025 | TEN 31, CLE 29 | CLE | L |
| TEN@CLEW3 2023 | TEN 3, CLE 27 | CLE | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCLE vs TEN
Our model takes Tennessee Titans at 57% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project TEN by 2.3. The market has TEN at -4.0.
Cleveland Browns won, CLE 41, TEN 35. Our model had favored Tennessee Titans at 57% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Tennessee Titans at -4.0, meaning the book expects Tennessee Titans to win by 4.0 points.
In Week 13, the Cleveland Browns were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Tennessee Titans were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 54.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 47.0, 7.0 below the market.
Week 13 of the 2020 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Tennessee Titans, TEN 31, CLE 29 in Week 14 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Tennessee Titans: CLE +0.011 against TEN +0.053.
