2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ TEN – Week 13 2020
CLE
TEN
CLE
AWAY
41@35
CLE +6
FINAL · WEEK 13
2020 SEASON
TEN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: TEN
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: TEN 57%Projected margin: 1.9
TEN
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
1.9
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
TEN B-tier pick misses. CLE takes it.
MISSED
Model picked TEN but CLE won. Projected margin was 1.9 -- the model overestimated by 7.9 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 10.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | TEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -200 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Windy 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
TEN
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
52°F
WIND
1 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CLE
Baker Mayfield
QB
248.6SEASON PPR
Kareem Hunt
RB
218.5SEASON PPR
Nick Chubb
RB
207.7SEASON PPR
TEN
Ryan Tannehill
QB
344.4SEASON PPR
Derrick Henry
RB
333.1SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@CLEW14 2025 | TEN 31, CLE 29 | CLE | L |
| TEN@CLEW3 2023 | TEN 3, CLE 27 | CLE | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES