2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ CLE – Week 3 2023
TEN
CLE
TEN
AWAY
3@27
CLE +24
FINAL · WEEK 3
2023 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CLE 63%Projected margin: 3.0
CLE
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
3.0
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CLE. Projected margin: 3.0. Actual: 24. Off by 21.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 20.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -185 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
CLE
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
68°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
TEN
Derrick Henry
RB
246.7SEASON PPR
DeAndre Hopkins
WR
223.6SEASON PPR
Tyjae Spears
RB
153.8SEASON PPR
CLE
Amari Cooper
WR
227.0SEASON PPR
Jerome Ford
RB
211.2SEASON PPR
David Njoku
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@CLEW14 2025 | TEN 31, CLE 29 | CLE | L |
| CLE@TENW13 2020 | CLE 41, TEN 35 | TEN | L |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES