2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ SF – Week 3 2023
NYG
SF
NYG
AWAY
12@30
SF +18
FINAL · WEEK 3
2023 SEASON
SF
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: SF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SF 79%Projected margin: 9.6
SF
PICK SIDE
-10.5
SPREAD
9.6
PROJ MARGIN
-453
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SF. Projected margin: 9.6. Actual: 18. Off by 8.4 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 7.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.5 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -453 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -535 | Won · +$0.22 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
SF
Road Favorite 6-3 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
77°F
WIND
13 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
NYG
Saquon Barkley
RB
223.2SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0SEASON PPR
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR
133.2SEASON PPR
SF
Christian McCaffrey
RB
391.3SEASON PPR
Brock Purdy
QB
295.6SEASON PPR
Brandon Aiyuk
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF@NYGW9 2025 | SF 34, NYG 24 | SF | W |
| SF@NYGW3 2020 | SF 36, NYG 9 | SF | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES