NFL WEEK 3 2023 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 11-5 straight up in Week 3 2023.
The most confident pick, the Kansas City Chiefs at 86%, won 41-10.
Our most confident Week 3 pick is the Kansas City Chiefs over the Chicago Bears, at 86% win probability.
1 of 16 games on the Week 3 slate is effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Dallas Cowboys at 80% win probability lost 16-28.
The A+-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 76% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 3 2023 pick is the Kansas City Chiefs over the Chicago Bears, at 86% win probability.
1 of 16 games in Week 3 2023 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 3, 2023, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 11-5 straight up in Week 3 2023.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Dallas Cowboys at 80% win probability lost 16-28. The A+-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 76% all-time rate.