2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ SEA – Week 3 2023
CAR
SEA
CAR
AWAY
27@37
SEA +10
FINAL · WEEK 3
2023 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 63%Projected margin: 2.3
SEA
PICK SIDE
-5.0
SPREAD
2.3
PROJ MARGIN
-205
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 2.3. Actual: 10. Off by 7.7 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 5.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -205 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -225 | Won · +$0.49 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Divisional 2-3 ATS (40%)
SEA
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
61°F
WIND
2 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
CAR
Adam Thielen
WR
231.0SEASON PPR
Chuba Hubbard
RB
182.5SEASON PPR
Bryce Young
QB
156.4SEASON PPR
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
227.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
225.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@CARW17 2025 | SEA 27, CAR 10 | SEA | W |
| CAR@SEAW14 2022 | CAR 30, SEA 24 | SEA | L |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES