Panthers vs Seahawks – Week 14 2022
CAR
SEA
CAR
AWAY
30@24
CAR BY 6
FINAL · WEEK 14
2022 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Carolina Panthers 30, Seattle Seahawks 24.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 67% win probability, and the pick lost.
Model confidence: SEA 67%Our line: SEA -5.8
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -3.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -5.8
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
67%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 14
-0.037Net EPA / play-0.023
-0.035 (20)Offense EPA / play-0.003 (18)
+0.003 (16)Defense EPA / play+0.020 (25)
40.7% (25)Offense success %44.2% (17)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick misses. CAR takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SEA but CAR won. Projected margin was 5.8, the model overestimated by 11.8 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 9.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
CAR
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Home Underdog 5-1 ATS (83%)
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
4 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@CARW17 2025 | SEA 27, CAR 10 | SEA | W |
| CAR@SEAW3 2023 | CAR 27, SEA 37 | SEA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCAR vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 67% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 5.8. The market has SEA at -3.5.
Carolina Panthers won, CAR 30, SEA 24. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 67% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -3.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 3.5 points.
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 44.8, 0.3 above the market.
Week 14 of the 2022 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, SEA 27, CAR 10 in Week 17 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Seattle Seahawks: CAR -0.037 against SEA -0.023.
