Eagles vs Giants – Week 14 2022
PHI
NYG
PHI
AWAY
48@22
PHI BY 26
FINAL · WEEK 14
2022 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYG
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Philadelphia Eagles 48, New York Giants 22.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 75% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Eagles, 4 Giants.
Model confidence: PHI 75%Our line: PHI -9.2
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -7.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -9.2
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 14
+0.172Net EPA / play-0.016
+0.107 (3)Offense EPA / play+0.030 (9)
-0.064 (5)Defense EPA / play+0.046 (28)
48.3% (3)Offense success %44.9% (14)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 9.2. Actual: 26. Off by 16.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
PHI
Road Favorite 2-5 ATS (29%)
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
37°F
WIND
6 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW18 2023 | PHI 10, NYG 27 | PHI | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs NYG
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 75% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project PHI by 9.2. The market has PHI at -7.5.
Philadelphia Eagles won, PHI 48, NYG 22. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 75% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -7.5, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 7.5 points.
In Week 14, the Philadelphia Eagles were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the New York Giants were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.9, 2.4 above the market.
Week 14 of the 2022 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, NYG 20, PHI 38 in Week 8 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Philadelphia Eagles: PHI +0.172 against NYG -0.016.
