2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LV @ LA – Week 14 2022
LV
LA
LV
AWAY
16@17
LA +1
FINAL · WEEK 14
2022 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LV
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: LV 69%Projected margin: -5.0
LV
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-5.0
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LV B-tier pick misses. LA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LV but LA won. Projected margin was 5.0 -- the model overestimated by 6.0 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 7.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | LV market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -283 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LV
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
LA
Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
LV
Davante Adams
WR
335.5SEASON PPR
Josh Jacobs
RB
328.3SEASON PPR
Derek Carr
QB
219.1SEASON PPR
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
201.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Higbee
TE
152.0SEASON PPR
Cam Akers
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES