Rams vs Raiders – Week 7 2026
LA
LV
LA
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 7 · 2026 SEASON
Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV
LV
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Rams over the Raiders at 70% win probability, a Tier B pick.
The market has the Rams at -7.0, in line with our own projection.
Model confidence: LA 70%Our line: LA -7.0
80% range around our line: LV by 10 to LA by 24. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the LA game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
LA -7.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LA -7.0
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
LA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
70%
LA · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
69%
DIFFERENCE
+1%
| SPORTSBOOK | LA | LV | LA WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -255 | +210 | 69.8% |
| ESPN BET |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 7 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.114Net EPA / play-0.001
+0.073 (9)Offense EPA / play+0.004 (14)
-0.042 (10)Defense EPA / play+0.005 (19)
47.3% (7)Offense success %42.6% (17)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
LA backed by epa edge at 70%.
EPA EDGE
LA generates 0.073 EPA/play on offense. LV's defense allows 0.005. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
HIGH CONVICTION
LA is one of the model's highest-conviction calls. Its strongest calls hit at a significantly higher rate.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
LA goes for it on 4th down 26% of the time, among the most aggressive in the NFL.
RED ZONE
LA converts 86% in the red zone vs 64% for LV. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 7.0-point margin.
Multiple signals align in LA's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
Indoor venue. No weather to forecast.
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
CLOSING LINE VALUE
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV@LAW7 2024 | LV 15, LA 20 | LA | W |
| LV@LAW14 2022 | LV 16, LA 17 | LV | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLA vs LV
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 70% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project LA by 7.0. The market has LA at -7.0.
Our model favors Los Angeles Rams at 70% win probability, a Tier B pick.
The market has Los Angeles Rams at -7.0, meaning the book expects Los Angeles Rams to win by 7.0 points.
Week 7 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Los Angeles Rams, LV 15, LA 20 in Week 7 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Los Angeles Rams: LA +0.114 against LV -0.001.
